TY - JOUR
T1 - Probabilistic model criteria with decision-theoretic rough sets
AU - Liu, Dun
AU - Li, Tianrui
AU - Ruan, Da
PY - 2011/9/1
Y1 - 2011/9/1
N2 - In dealing with risk in real decision problems, decision-theoretic rough sets with loss functions aim to obtain optimization decisions by minimizing the overall risk with Bayesian decision procedures. Two parameters generated by loss functions divide the universe into three regions as the decision of acceptance, deferment and rejection. In this paper, we discuss the semantics of loss functions, and utilize the differences of losses replace actual losses to construct a new "four-level" approach of probabilistic rules choosing criteria. Ten types of probabilistic rough set models can be generated by the "four-level" approach and form two groups of models: two-way probabilistic decision models and three-way probabilistic decision models. A reasonable decision with these criteria is demonstrated by an illustration of oil investment.
AB - In dealing with risk in real decision problems, decision-theoretic rough sets with loss functions aim to obtain optimization decisions by minimizing the overall risk with Bayesian decision procedures. Two parameters generated by loss functions divide the universe into three regions as the decision of acceptance, deferment and rejection. In this paper, we discuss the semantics of loss functions, and utilize the differences of losses replace actual losses to construct a new "four-level" approach of probabilistic rules choosing criteria. Ten types of probabilistic rough set models can be generated by the "four-level" approach and form two groups of models: two-way probabilistic decision models and three-way probabilistic decision models. A reasonable decision with these criteria is demonstrated by an illustration of oil investment.
KW - Bayesian decision procedure
KW - Decision-theoretic rough sets
KW - Loss function
KW - Probabilistic rough sets
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=79957597759&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.ins.2011.04.039
DO - 10.1016/j.ins.2011.04.039
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:79957597759
SN - 0020-0255
VL - 181
SP - 3709
EP - 3722
JO - Information Sciences
JF - Information Sciences
IS - 17
ER -